Pronostics pour Maria Sakkari — Alexandra Eala

Sakkari’s semifinal case is built on the way she keeps a match alive when control slips. Against Joint, she regrouped after losing the first set and eventually protected the breakthrough; against Sasnovich, she served more cleanly, answered a lost break at once and closed the 6-2, 6-3 win without fuss.

Eala has earned her place here, but her Hong Kong matches have often turned strong positions into hard work before she finds a way through. That resilience is real; it is not the same as controlling the match. Sakkari’s return pressure should keep asking the question.

The price appeals because Sakkari also has the better recovery sequence: an intervening day off before a straightforward quarterfinal, while Eala played on consecutive days and finished later after a rain delay. Eala’s left-handed game, stronger season and crowd support make this a real test, and Sakkari’s recent inconsistency is not erased by one win over a qualifier. Still, Maria Sakkari to win is the side at 2.10; the risk is that Eala’s ability to recover from trouble exposes Sakkari’s uneven level again.